____________________________ Forward Header ________________________________
Subject: 2000 CTPP TAZ-UP
Author: Don Burrell <DBURRELL(a)oki.org> at SMTP-GATEWAY Date: 11/25/98
5:12 PM
The Journey-to-work and FHWA folks are currently working on
a program to prepare the CTPP TAZ geography in advance of the census,
specifically by next summer. This is to be done using a program called
TAZ-UP, TIGER/Line 99 and ArcView GIS software.
Today, I shipped the results of the 2000 Census Statistical Areas Review
process for 2 of the Cincinnati area counties to the Detroit regional
office. This work, which is underway throughout the country, has identified
census tract and block group boundary changes to be used for the 2000
census.
Having just now put 2 + 2 together, my question is whether or not the Bureau
will have our new local recommendations for census boundary changes in the
TIGER/Line 99 file that is to be shipped to us for the TAZ-UP work? OKI
plans to revise many of our TAZ boundaries to conform to the 2000 census
geography. It would be helpful to have the 2000 census geography shown.
Don Burrell
OH-KY-IN Regional Council of Govmts.
____________________________________________________________________________
Response from P. Salopek
Don:
I could not answer this question on my own, so I spoke with Bob LaMacchia in
Geography Division of the Census Bureau. The first point is that for the
TAZ-UP program, TIGER/Line 98 will be the base, not T/L 99. T/L 98 will NOT
include the local recommendations for block boundaries that you just
submitted. Bob L. says that the verification phase for both programs will
occur at the same time. This means that the T/L 99 that I guess
participants in both activities will receive to review will contain both the
new TAZ boundaries and the new block boundaries (collection blocks, not
tabulation blocks). One point to remember is that in defining TAZs for 2000
you will not be constrained to build them from blocks, since blocks won't be
defined yet. You will in fact have a wider array of lines/features to use
as TAZ boundaries than has been available in the past. We think this is an
improvement and should allow closer approximation to true TAZ boundaries.
--Phil
December 4, 1998
Supreme Court Weighs Legal, Constitutional Issues in Census
Sampling
Cases
Justices Question Role of Judiciary in Settling Sampling
Dispute
Monitoring Board Reviews Use of Administrative Records in
Census
The United States Supreme Court heard oral arguments
November 30 in two lawsuits challenging the use of sampling
and statistical estimation in the census. The Justices
heard presentations from Solicitor General Seth Waxman,
arguing on behalf of the Administration; Maureen Mahoney,
with the firm of Latham & Watkins, representing the U.S.
House of Representatives; and Michael Carvin, with the firm
of Cooper, Carvin, & Rosenthal, representing Matthew Glavin
and other private plaintiffs. The Court had agreed to
consider both cases after two separate three-judge district
court panels ruled earlier this year that the Census Act
prohibits sampling to derive the population counts used for
congressional re-apportionment.
Some highlights of the hearing in the cases of U.S. House of
Representatives v. U.S. Department of Commerce and Glavin v.
Clinton:
* Several Justices were skeptical about the legal
authority of the House of Representatives to sue the
Executive branch to force a particular action that Congress
could not bring about by enacting a law. Justice Scalia said
that the Judicial branch should not be asked to resolve a
political dispute between the other two branches. He
prompted laughter by suggesting that Congress could threaten
to withhold funds for the census or even White House
operations until the Administration agreed with its position
on sampling.
* There was less discussion about the legal standing
of individuals and counties to file suit in the Glavin
case. However, there was some confusion about whether these
private parties must show that their States were likely to
lose a congressional seat if sampling were used, in order to
establish probable harm or injury from the Census Bureau's
plan for 2000. There was also confusion over whether
critics of the Bureau's plan believed that the law and
Constitution barred sampling only for congressional
apportionment or for other purposes as well. Justice
Ginsburg noted that the use of sampling to produce census
numbers for redistricting and the allocation of Federal aid
was not an issue before the Court. However, Ms. Mahoney
argued that sampling could not be used to count the
population for any purpose, including congressional
redistricting and Federal funds distribution. The Secretary
of Commerce's authority to use sampling in taking a
decennial census, she said, is limited to the collection of
demographic and economic data on the traditional long form.
* The Justices appeared to be divided about whether
sampling and other statistical methods could be used to
improve a direct counting effort. Justice O'Connor said
that most people would think that the words "actual
enumeration" in the Constitution meant a one-by-one count.
She later challenged the House counsel's description of the
Census Bureau's plan as an effort to count only 90 percent
of the population, noting that 100 percent of households
would receive a census form. Justice Stevens asked what
census takers would do if there were a building with many
undocumented residents who were afraid to answer the door
and provide information. In the face of evidence that
people lived there, must the census taker write down "zero,"
the Justice asked, even though "one" would be closer to the
truth? Ms. Mahoney said that the count for those households
must be "zero," which she said was preferable to guessing,
prompting Justice Breyer to ask whether that was the policy
even if the lights went on and off at night.
Many observers believe the Court will issue a ruling by next
spring; technically, the Justices have until the end of the
term (late June or the beginning of July) to reach a
decision.
Monitoring Board examines administrative records: The Census
Monitoring Board debated whether administrative records
could be used to reduce the disproportionate undercount of
racial minorities in the 2000 census at a November 23
hearing at Census Bureau headquarters. Republican co-chair
Kenneth Blackwell said in opening remarks that he believes
the Bureau can use Federal, State and local program
databases, such as Medicaid files, to add targeted,
hard-to-count populations to the census.
Dr. John Czajka, a member of the National Academy of
Sciences panel reviewing census methods, was the only
non-Bureau witness. Dr. Czajka discussed the quality and
content of government databases, and said records must be
pulled from many sources in order to compile the basic
information collected in the census. For example, tax
returns and other information maintained by the Internal
Revenue Service could be linked with social security records
to gain more demographic data.
Dr. Czajka said that further research was needed to overcome
several deficiencies in the data from administrative
databases that make their use problematic for census
purposes. Those problems include the lack of a physical
address (e.g., a post office box); the time lag between
point of collection and Census Day; the inclusion of people
who have died or the omission of recent births in some
record sets; and missing demographic variables needed for
the census (such as race, marital status, and relationship
of householders). Databases also are most likely to leave
out young people in their late teens and early twenties and
noncitizens, he noted.
Dr. Czajka concluded that administrative records could not
be used to add people to the 2000 count. Three previous
efforts to rely on such records to add to the census "blew
up on the launch pad," he told the Board. He urged the
Census Bureau to spearhead a research effort to address
deficiencies, as well as privacy and confidentiality issues,
and also noted that current law may prohibit the disclosure
of some records for census purposes.
Senior Census Bureau staff testifying before the Monitoring
Board said that the Bureau would have to verify the
information contained in administrative databases before
adding those people to the census count. They noted, for
example, that about 16 percent of all Americans move each
year, while much higher proportions of harder-to-count
groups like renters change residences, making field
verification of administrative records necessary. The
Bureau plans an extensive research effort to determine if
government databases can be used to count the population in
future censuses, the staff said. Bureau Director Kenneth
Prewitt said the agency is not opposed to using
administrative records in the census. "The bureau would use
any method we thought would make the count better," he said.
There were no witnesses supporting the use of administrative
records to add people to the 2000 census. At the conclusion
of the meeting, co-chair Blackwell said Republican Board
members did not want the Bureau to rely on methods that
haven't worked in the past if the Supreme Court "outlawed"
sampling, and they urged the Bureau to pursue the use of
program databases to address the differential undercount.
The Board's next hearing is on December 16 in Sacramento,
CA, one of the three dress-rehearsal sites.
Census Advisory Committee considers recommendations: At its
last meeting of the year, members of the 2000 Census
Advisory Committee reviewed a draft of the panel's final
report, which it will present to the Secretary of Commerce
next February. The report will include key recommendations
on the importance of partnerships with local governments and
community-based stakeholders, effective field operations,
the use of scientific and statistical methods, and the
availability of census data products.
Administrative note: You can find an archive of recent and
past News Alerts at the Census 2000 Initiative Web site,
www.census2000.orghttp://www.census2000.org.
Questions about the information contained in this News Alert
may be directed to TerriAnn Lowenthal at (202) 484-2270 or,
by e-mail at terriann2k(a)aol.com. Please direct all requests
to receive News Alerts, and all changes in
address/phone/fax/e-mail, to Census 2000 at
Census2000(a)ccmc.org or 202/326-8700. Please feel free to
circulate this information to colleagues and other
interested individuals.
Vol. 2 - No. 46 Dec. 4, 1998
A newly redesigned section of the Census Bureau's Internet
site contains a storehouse of information about Census 2000
news and articles, plans and operations, promotional ideas,
business opportunities and job postings.
The United States Census 2000 page
http://www.census.gov/dmd/www/2khome.htm is divided into the
following six subsections: What's New; General Information;
Partnerships and Promotion; Plans and Operations; Contracts
and Procurement; and Jobs and Employment.
With Census 2000 more than a year off, the Census 2000
section is still in the early stages of construction, but it
already contains a wide array of information about the
decennial census.
Under What's New, links take the browser to a listing of
Census 2000 news releases and drop-in articles that can be
used in organizational newsletters or magazines. To be added
in the future are partnership agreements with national media
organizations, B-roll video clips for television stations,
stock photos and the Census 2000 logo and taglines.
The General Information subsection includes fact sheets on a
variety of topics, reports on the census advisory
committees, frequently asked questions, a glossary of
acronyms, 1990 census data files and adjusted and unadjusted
data from the 1990 census down to the census block level.
Articles describing what partnership organizations, both
governmental and nongovernmental, can do to promote the
census, a list of partnership contacts at the Census Bureau
headquarters and regional offices and a list of publications
and articles fall under Partnerships and Promotion.
The Plans and Operations heading contains the Census 2000
operational plan (April 1998), a report to the Congress, and
discussions of sampling, address list development,
congressional apportionment and legislative redistricting,
as well as early reports on the Census 2000 Dress Rehearsal.
Contracts and Procurement covers statements of need,
requests for proposal, lists of bidders and other
procurement information on Census 2000's major contracts:
advertising services; automation infrastructure,
data-capture services and data-capture system, data
dissemination, laptop computer acquisition, telephone
questionnaire assistance, etc.
The job postings are for positions at headquarters and in
the regional offices, at the data capture centers, the
telephone centers and the National Processing Center in
Jeffersonville, Ind.
In the future, links to the Census Bureau's new data
dissemination system, the American FactFinder, as well as to
the American Community Survey and other Census 2000-related
activities will be added to the Census 2000 page. For
further information about this bulletin, contact J. Paul
Wyatt of the Public Information Office on 301-457-3052 (fax:
301-457-3670; e-mail: pwyatt(a)census.gov).
Today, we in Denver received a telephone call from FHWA to obtain our contact information. Guess they have defined a Plan B and are calling MPOs directly.
Larry Mugler
owner-ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net wrote:
> SHS wrote:
>
> > Is every MPO supposed to receive the TAZ Update forms by now? If yes, we have
> not received any yet.
> > Memphis MPO
>
> I am cross posting this to the ctpp listserve because i think it is a broad
> issue.
>
> Yes, it is my understanding that the introduction letter explaining the TAZ
> update process and
> soliciting some info, like agency contact went out in the beginning of October
> to all the usdot
> divisional offices. They were instructed to pass it to their state which inturn
> was to pass it to the
> MPOs.
>
> Right now all i can say is don't worry, you are not alone, and the originators
> of the letter are on this
> list serve. I don't want to make any recommendation like call Tom Mank of FHWA
> since I do not (as yet)
> know what plan B is. I can tell you that the MPO in northeastern Illinois has
> not seen it yet either. I
> just asked around the agency today and no one has seen it.
>
> ed christopher
> director or information services
> chicago area transportation study
____________________________________________________________________
Get free e-mail and a permanent address at http://www.netaddress.com/?N=1
Hello out there in CTPP land, this is Dave Aultman in the Geography Division at the Census Bureau. I am involved in both the Census 2000 Participant Statistical Areas Program and the 2000 CTPP TAZ Update Program.
I would like to pass on some information that will clarify the situation.
1. To confirm what Phil Salopek stated, participants in the 2000 TAZ program will receive 98 TIGER/Line files (not 99 TIGER/Line files) to do the initial delineation of the 2000 TAZs. These files WILL NOT CONTAIN THE APPROVED CENSUS 2000 STATISTICAL AREAS. These files are being created this month and next. At present the Census Bureau has received only a handful of Census 2000 statistical area plans. It is possible that some files may contain the approved statistical areas, but that number is very small. In almost every county the census tracts, block groups, CDPs, and CCDs that are contained in the 2000 area of the 98 TIGER/Line files are copies of the statistical areas used for the 1990 census, not the approved Census 2000 statistical areas.
2. Participants in the TAZ Program will receive 1999 TIGER/Line files in November and December 1999. These files WILL CONTAIN THE CENSUS 2000 STATISTICAL AREAS, and their 2000 TAZs. The Census Bureau is providing participants with these files to verify the capture and insertion of their TAZs. Participant can submit changes to 1) correct errors that the Census Bureau made, 2) make adjustments to TAZ boundaries that are affected by the changes to political boundaries, and 3) redefine their TAZs for purposes such as conforming to the Census 2000 statistical areas.
Participants in the Census 2000 Participant Statistical Areas Program also will receive 1999 TIGER/Line files to do essentially the same verification of their statistical area boundaries. However, unlike the TAZ Verification, the Census Bureau WILL NOT accept wholesale changes of their statistical areas. We will limit particpant to making only a few changes that are not due to Census Bureau error or changes brought about by changes in polictical boundaries.
Please contact me at (301) 457-1099 if you any questions or comments.
On 12/2/98, phillip_a_salopek wrote:
> ____________________________ Forward Header >________________________________ > Subject: 2000 CTPP TAZ-UP > Author: Don Burrell <DBURRELL(a)oki.org> at SMTP-
>GATEWAY Date: 11/25/98 > 5:12 PM
> > > The Journey-to-work and FHWA folks are currently >working on
> a program to prepare the CTPP TAZ geography in >advance of the census, > specifically by next summer. This is to be done >using a program called > TAZ-UP, TIGER/Line 99 and ArcView GIS software.
> > Today, I shipped the results of the 2000 Census >Statistical Areas Review > process for 2 of the Cincinnati area counties to >the Detroit regional > office. This work, which is underway throughout >the country, has identified
> census tract and block group boundary changes to >be used for the 2000 > census. > > Having just now put 2 + 2 together, my question >is whether or not the Bureau > will have our new local recommendations for >census boundary changes in the > TIGER/Line 99 file that is to be shipped to us >for the TAZ-UP work? OKI > plans to revise many of our TAZ boundaries to >conform to the 2000 census > geography. It would be helpful to have the 2000 >census geography shown.
> > Don Burrell
> OH-KY-IN Regional Council of Govmts.
> > _________________________________________________
>___________________________
> > Response from P. Salopek
> > Don:
> > I could not answer this question on my own, so I >spoke with Bob LaMacchia in > Geography Division of the Census Bureau. The >first point is that for the > TAZ-UP program, TIGER/Line 98 will be the base, >not T/L 99. T/L 98 will NOT > include the local recommendations for block >boundaries that you just > submitted. Bob L. says that the verification >phase for both programs will > occur at the same time. This means that the T/L >99 that I guess > participants in both activities will receive to >review will contain both the > new TAZ boundaries and the new block boundaries >(collection blocks, not > tabulation blocks). One point to remember is >that in defining TAZs for 2000 > you will not be constrained to build them from >blocks, since blocks won't be > defined yet. You will in fact have a wider array >of lines/features to use > as TAZ boundaries than has been available in the >past. We think this is an > improvement and should allow closer approximation >to true TAZ boundaries.
> > --Phil
>
>
>
>RFC822 header
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> Cc: <berwyned(a)mcs.com>, <cpurvi(a)mtc.dst.ca.us>, ><ctpp-news(a)chrispy.net>,
> <elaine.murakami(a)fhwa.dot.gov>, ><jerry.everett(a)fhwa.dot.gov>,
> <tom.mank(a)fhwa.dot.gov>, ><wende.oneill(a)bts.gov>,
> <ernest_wilson_jr(a)ccmail.census.gov>,
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> Subject: [CTPP] TAZs and BBSP (Block Boundary >Suggestion Program)
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SHS wrote:
> Is every MPO supposed to receive the TAZ Update forms by now? If yes, we have not received any yet.
> Memphis MPO
I am cross posting this to the ctpp listserve because i think it is a broad issue.
Yes, it is my understanding that the introduction letter explaining the TAZ update process and
soliciting some info, like agency contact went out in the beginning of October to all the usdot
divisional offices. They were instructed to pass it to their state which inturn was to pass it to the
MPOs.
Right now all i can say is don't worry, you are not alone, and the originators of the letter are on this
list serve. I don't want to make any recommendation like call Tom Mank of FHWA since I do not (as yet)
know what plan B is. I can tell you that the MPO in northeastern Illinois has not seen it yet either. I
just asked around the agency today and no one has seen it.
ed christopher
director or information services
chicago area transportation study
********** C E N S U S 2 0 0 0 B U L L E T I N
**********
Vol. 2 - No. 45 Nov. 24,
1998
Citing a need to reduce the workload for "the large
household followup" and expected overall coverage
improvements, especially among hard-to-enumerate
populations, the Census Bureau has decided to adopt a
six-person questionnaire design. This will apply to both the
short and long forms in the Census 2000 plan, which includes
scientific sampling, and in an alternative plan, which calls
for traditional census-taking methods.
The Census Bureau anticipates that the change from a
five-person to a six-person questionnaire for forms that are
mailed out or delivered by enumerators to housing units for
mailback will cut followup workload for large households in
half. Planning estimates put the number of mailback
households with seven or more persons at slightly more than
1 million households versus about 4 million households with
six or more.
The issue was revisited recently during discussions about
ways that the Census Bureau might increase coverage in a
census that does not include statistical sampling to
supplement traditional methods. With deadlines for
advertising printing specifications scheduled for October
1998, it was found to be more cost-effective to require
six-person forms only, notwithstanding a final decision on
sampling. The alternative would have necessitated printing
two sets of questionnaires for the entire country, a
prohibitive expense.
Other advantages of the six-person questionnaire:
--it retains the design initiatives developed in the
commercially designed form to make an easy-to-complete,
respondent-friendly questionnaire.
--it can be introduced into the Census Bureau's basic system
for data capture and mailback questionnaire processing
without major disruption.
--it provides for a slight positive advantage in the
Integrated Coverage Measurement survey one of the components
in the current sampling plan through more timely data
capture of complete large households.
--it reduces respondent burden by requiring six-person
households to respond only once by using a mailback
questionnaire designed for households with six persons,
rather than one for five (which would have required
additional reporting by the six-person households).
Disadvantages of the six-person mailback questionnaire are
few. Although followup is reduced by an estimated 50
percent, there are overall higher costs associated with the
six-person mailback questionnaire due to the long form data
capture method, which involves capture of each page
regardless of the number of persons in the household.
Also, the additional width of the short-form is another area
of higher costs. Both, however, were considered to be
relatively minor cost increases when balanced against data
quality erosion and losses resulting from the two-stage
enumeration for large households.
For further information about Census 2000 Bulletins, contact
J. Paul Wyatt of the Public Information Office on
301-457-3052 (fax: 301-457-3670; e-mail: pwyatt(a)census.gov).
Statewide TAZs. TIGER/Line can only take ONE definition of a TAZ, so we
thought that the metropolitan TAZs were the most important to include in
TIGER/Line. So, definition of state TAZ is a tabulation question for CTPP
that will be handled by Phil Salopek in Journey to Work, and not the Census
Bureau GEOGRAPHY division.
We are trying to get an estimate for how many areas will WANT to define state
TAZs--this question is part of the letter that went out through the FHWA
Division office. We hope that you have included this information in your
response.
thanks for your input!
1. when?--we are hoping that the software and the TIGER/Line 98 CDs will ship
at the end of January. MPOs and State DOTs will have six months to return the
files to the Census Bureau.
2. Minimum threshholds? We are still waiting to hear from the Census Bureau
Disclosure Review Board. When I went to APDU, there was some discussion that
Block Group recommendation was to have threshhold of about 600 persons.
However, Phil Salopek of Census Bureau Journey to Work thinks that CTPP may
not have to meet the same requirements.
Ed:
Here in Denver we have had a few problems with county boundaries because
Denver is a consolidated city/county. Back when they could annex, they
created weird boundaries. We have one area where the county line goes
through an apartment building! Therefore, we have a few zones that cross
county lines. We have dealt with this in the past by creating partial
zones in each county and will plan on doing that again for 2000.
Larry Mugler
-----Original Message-----
From: ed c [SMTP:berwyned(a)mcs.com]
Sent: Monday, November 23, 1998 4:03 PM
To: ctpp maillist
Subject: [CTPP] defining TAZs
As many of you know we (MPOs) will soon be in the throws of
defining our Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZs) within our urban
areas. When working through that process one constraint,
that is new for 2000, will be that TAZs respect county
boundaries. That is, a TAZ can not cross a county
boundary. Is this something that you can live with? Will
this be a big problem for any regions?
Here in northeastern Illinois we have tended to cross over
many different political boundaries over the years but we do
respect county boundaries in our planning work.
thanks
ed christopher
please respond to the list (all recipients) so others may
benefit from any comments.